الجمعة، 1 نوفمبر 2013

In The Face Of Armageddon, Microsoft and VMware Get A New Religion


A cloud of ashes billows from the Puyehue volc...

A cloud of ashes billows from the Puyehue volcano near Osorno (Image credit: AFP/Getty Images via @daylife)




In the past couple of weeks I’ve had some in-depth conversations from executives from both VMware and Microsoft. Both companies are in the process of transforming themselves into cloud powerhouses – in the case of VMware, it’s a growing realization that their bread and butter business, virtualization, is becoming less relevant as cloud infrastructure hides away all the details. For Microsoft, too many years of keeping its eyes on a plethora of different battlegrounds has allowed newcomers to steal parts of it’s more lucrative operations – Apple, Google and Amazon all impact on Microsoft in different ways.


Given all of this turmoil, it’s interesting to see the messaging coming out of these two players, and even more interesting to see how the two seem to be following similar playbooks. For VMware there is a dual-pronged strategy – firstly they’re talking up the Software Defined data Center (SDDC). SDDC (an extension of Software Defined Networking or SDN) is VMware’s vision of the way data centers will be built in the future – a broad fabric of hardware with software (provided by, you guessed it, VMware) to abstract all the tin away from what organizations actually want, which is flexible infrastructure and networking platforms. The second VMware thrust is through vCloud Hybrid Service (vCHS) which promises to give customer a seamless transition between VMware powered private infrastructure and a VMware powered public cloud. Of course executing on the vCHS opportunity will take time and, as I wrote in a recent post, will result in shockwaves both inside VMware and within its partner ecosystem.


On a call recently with Brad Anderson, Microsoft’s Corporate VP of Cloud, I was interested to hear a story that is surprisingly aligned with that of VMware. Anderson spent a lot of time talking about Software Defined Networking (he published a book post about the subject yesterday) and pointed out the fact that Microsoft has run a massive global cloud infrastructure for years and hence SDN isn’t simply a product it sells, rather it is a core part of its operating model. That’s actually pretty compelling – so many people hold SDN up as some kind of conceptual panacea for all infrastructure-ills that we forget that it’s actually something people have been doing for years. Indeed Cumulus Networks, an interesting startup I wrote about recently in a post about SDN, was founded by one of the guys who built the networking operations for Google – another one of the cloud operations powerhouses. After reflecting on my conversation with Anderson it strikes me as a logical marketing approach for Redmond to showcase it’s experience as a cloud operator, in order to build its credibility downstream as a cloud vendor.


The other area that Microsoft is articulating a value proposition, and one I’m less comfortable about, is as the foil for vendor lockin. Some from the open source community might choke a little on the message that Microsoft is helping customers avoid lockin but there you have it. The theory goes that AWS is a proprietary cloud platform and does things only one way and only through relying on (in this case) Microsoft, can organizations get flexibility, choice and the ability to decide between public and private at will.


That is, in my opinion, a dangerous angle to go to market on – it’s being done to death by others (OpenStack for one, but all the cloud migration vendors as well). it’s a strategy that smarts of fear, uncertainty and doubt and isn’t in keeping with the more mature stage the market is at. In fact I’d suggest that a far better approach for these vendors isn’t to ram “the dangers of lockin” down the throats of customers, but rather to embrace the fact that the future is complex and multi-cloud and offer some good options to enable that – I’d posit that’s the reason that CSC bought ServiceMesh this week (and Dell bought enStratius a few months ago) – as a way to enable this multi-cloud opportunity. In other words, sell people on the end results, not on some fear of a potential calamity.


I’m surprised to not see Microsoft pushing a product like Double-Take Move (horrible name notwithstanding) from Vision Solutions. The product is helping customer migrate from AWS and VMware onto Microsoft’s Azure cloud platform – since migration between disparate cloud platforms has been held up as nearly impossible, it’d make sense for Microsoft to be telling the world about this product that allows people to move to Azure sans downtime and rewrites.


Microsoft and VMware are both powerhouses and, despite an arguably slow start, they’re both pushing hard against the AWS hegemony. There’s a need for both of them to move further away from the FUD and more into real world benefits their platforms can bring. Despite these criticism however, both companies are innovating and delivering real value to customers and that gives them an odd-on chance of surviving the tectonic shifts to come






from Forbes.com: Most popular stories http://www.forbes.com/sites/benkepes/2013/11/01/in-the-face-of-armageddon-microsoft-and-vmware-get-a-new-religion/

The Top 7 Technology Trends That Will Dominate 2014

google glassStrap yourself in, it’s going to be a wild ride. In considering the changes we’ve seen in technology over the past year, I’m bracing myself for unprecedented growth when it comes to anytime, anywhere, on-demand information and entertainment.


Based on the trends we’ve seen so far in 2013, I predict 2014 will see many fledgling technologies mature and grow beyond what we could have imagined just a few years ago.


So without further ado, here are my top 7 predictions for technology trends that will dominate 2014.


1. Consumers will come to expect Smart TV capabilities


With Smart TV shipments expected to reach 123 million in 2014 – up from about 84 million in 2012 – we are poised to see explosive growth in this industry.


In the midst of this growth, we will continue to see fierce competition between major players like Samsung, Panasonic, and LG. Prices will need to continue to drop, as more consumers crave, and even expect, the ability to use Netflix, Hulu, Amazon Instant Video and their web browser via their TV.


Of course, the development we’re all waiting for in 2014 is the release of Apple’s much anticipated iTV. It appears the iTV is now in the early development stage, and that Apple may be in the process of making a deal with Time Warner to facilitate programming on Apple devices.


The device is rumoured to include iCloud sync, the ability to control your iPhone, and ultra HD LCD panels. Keep an eye out for this release as early as summer 2014.


2. Smart watches will become ‘smarter’


Rather than having to pull out your smartphone or tablet for frequent email, text and social media updates, you’ll glance at your watch.


2014 is the year to keep an eye out for the Google watch. Rumor has it the device will integrate with Google Now, which aims to seamlessly provide relevant information when and where you want it (and before you’d asked for it).


We’ll see smart watches become even smarter, learning what news and updates are important to us, when we want to receive them, and responding more accurately to voice controls.


For smart watches to succeed, they’ll need to offer us something that our smart phone can’t; whether this means more intuitive notifications, or the ability to learn from our daily activities and behaviours (for instance, heart rate monitoring), it will be interesting to see.


3. Google Glass will still be in “wait and see” mode


While Google Glass hasn’t yet been released to the general public, we’ve heard enough about it to know it’s still very early days for this technology. With an estimated 60,000 units expected to sell in 2013, and a predicted several million in 2014, it’s still a long way from becoming a common household technology.


These augmented reality glasses allow you to access information like email and texts, take hands-free pictures and videos, effortlessly translate your voice, and even receive overlaid walking, cycling or driving directions, right within your field of vision.


It’s predicted that both Google Glass 2.0, and its companion, the Glass App Store, should be released to the general public sometime in 2014.



Be on the lookout for competition in this market, particularly from major players like Samsung. I predict we’ll see much of this competition aimed at niche markets like sports and healthcare.


4. Other applications and uses for Apple’s TouchID will emerge


The release of the iPhone 5S has, for the first time, made on-the-go fingerprint security a reality. The potential for Touch ID technology to really take off is, I believe, an inevitable reality. Touch ID, which uses a high-resolution camera to scan your fingerprint, allows convenient ultra-security for your iPhone.


Currently, the technology is limited; the only real uses are unlocking your iPhone, and making purchases in the App store. I predict that we’ll see this technology incorporated into other Apple products soon. I think we’ll even see TouchId integrated into MacBook products later this year or next.


I also predict TouchID, though not quite bug-free, will be used for other purposes, such as to securely integrate with home security systems, access password software, and even pay for groceries (more on that in an upcoming article).


5. Xbox One and PS4 will blur the lines between entertainment and video gaming


The new gaming consoles (Xbox One and PS4) will increasingly integrate social media-like connectivity between players. Players could have followers, work together to achieve in-game goals, and new technology will allow for equally-skilled players to compete.


The PS4, slated to be released November 15th, will track both the controller and the player’s face and movements for more intuitive play.


Apart from great gaming, these systems will allow for a far more integrative entertainment experience. For instance, rather than switching between TV, gaming, music and sports, you’ll be able to do two or even three activities side-by-side, or by easily switching back and forth.


6. 3D Printing will begin to revolutionize production


We’ve seen a huge rise in the popularity of 3D printing this year, coupled with a dramatic fall in pricing. The ability to easily create multi-layered products that are actually usable – well, that’s pretty amazing.


I’ll be watching for a movement towards simple products being produced close to home, and to greater customization given the ease of manufacturing. I think it’s inevitable that manufacturing in countries such as China will become less appealing and lucrative for businesses given the high costs of shipping and managing overseas contracts.


I don’t expect these changes to reach their full effect in 2014, however I believe businesses will be starting to consider how this will affect their production plans for 2015 and beyond.



7. The movement towards natural language search will make search more accurate and intuitive


There was a time when we used terms like “personal digital assistant” to describe a hand-held calendar. Oh, how times have changed.


With the emergence of intelligent personal assistants like Google Now and Apple’s Siri, the goal is to have information intuitively delivered to you, often before you even ask for it. The shift seems to be away from having to actively request data, and instead to have it passively delivered to your device.


Natural language search will continue to overtake keyword-based search, as seen by Google’s move towards longer, more natural searches in its recent release of Hummingbird, Google’s largest algorithm update thus far.



For more about Google’s move toward long-tail queries and natural language search, see these articles:



So, what are your thoughts? What’s missing from the list above? What tech trends do you think are likely to really take hold in 2014? Share your thoughts in the comments below!






from Forbes.com: Most popular stories http://www.forbes.com/sites/jaysondemers/2013/10/31/the-top-7-technology-trends-that-will-dominate-2014/

This Is Serious, Google's Being Sued Over Search Patents, Not Just Android Or Smartphone Ones

This looks a little more serious to me than the standard everyone making a smartphone sues everyone else making a smartphone patent cases. While there are indeed smartphone patents flying around in this latest spat the really important part of it looks to me to be that Google is being sued over patents that link search results to the advertising that will be shown up on them. That is, of course, something that is at the heart of the entirety of Google’s money making abilities. It thus strikes to hte heart of what the company is about, not just at something that can be engineered around.


The basics of the case are here:



Rockstar, the consortium that bought the Nortel patents for $4.5 billion, sued Samsung Electronics Co Ltd, HTC Corp, Huawei and four other companies for patent infringement in U.S. District Court in Texas. Rockstar is jointly owned by Apple, Microsoft, Blackberry, Ericsson and Sony.


Google is accused of infringing seven patents. The patents cover technology that helps match Internet search terms with relevant advertising, the lawsuit said, which is the core of Google’s search business.



There’s a little misunderstanding here:



That transaction cleared the DOJ as the team agreed to license the tech on “fair, reasonable and non-discriminatory terms, as well as their commitments not to seek injunctions in disputes involving SEPs.”



No, that’s not quite was said. The DOJ actually said that the companies had agreed that those patents which were SEPs would continue to be licenced on FRAND terms. But obviously, those that were not standards essential did not need to be. And yes it is very much true that Google is now being sued over non-SEPs and thus cannot rely upon any insistence upon FRAND terms.


Florian Mueller has the background documents here and has helpfully listed the patents themselves:




Patents-in-suit against Google





There is one innovative argument being used in the case:



The complaint tries to use the fact that Google bid for the patents as an extra point against the search giant. “Google subsequently increased its bid multiple times, ultimately bidding as high as $4.4 billion,” write Rockstar’s lawyers. “That price was insufficient to win the auction, as a group led by the current shareholders of Rockstar purchased the portfolio for $4.5 billion. Despite losing in its attempt to acquire the patents-in-suit at auction, Google has infringed and continues to infringe the patents-in-suit.”



Google cannot say that the patents are not valuable since they tried to bid for them themselves: ergo, they must be worth to Google at least what Google was willing to offer for them. Myself, if I were defending against this idea, I’d say that sure, but they also cannot be more valuable than what we were willing to pay for them either: and nor can they be more valuable than what was actually paid for them (this idea is being asserted in another patent suit right now: a patent cannot be worth more than Intellectual Ventures actually paid for it).


At least that argument would limit possible licence costs to the $4.4 billion or so figure. Yes, it’s a large sum but as against Google’s revenues it’s pretty small. Especially when you realise that that’s the maximum possible value of the patents over their 20 year life.


Now, I don’t know what’s going to happen next. Whether the patents will be upheld, whether Google is indeed violating them. But this is conceptually different still from most of the other patent cases that are roaming around. If the patents are valid and Google is breaching them then there’s no real workaround possible: they’re too basic to what is at the heart of what Google does. Quite what happens next I’m not sure, as I say, but this could become expensive quite quickly for Google. It’s a much more serious case than most of the other patent spats floating around.






from Forbes.com: Most popular stories http://www.forbes.com/sites/timworstall/2013/11/01/this-is-serious-googles-being-sued-over-search-patents-not-just-android-or-smartphone-ones/

IRS Raises Limit On Tax-Free Lifetime Gifts


Yuji Sakai/Getty Images



As many estate planners anticipated, the Internal Revenue Service has raised the limit on tax-free transfers during life or at death. Starting in 2014 that amount, known as the basic exclusion, will go up to $5.34 million per person, from $5.25 million this year. Today’s announcement, in Revenue Procedure 2013-35, indicates that there will be no change in the annual exclusion, which allows you to give $14,000 in cash or other assets each year to each of as many individuals as you want without dipping into the basic exclusion.


The lifetime gift tax exclusion (also called the lifetime exemption) and the estate tax exclusion are expressed as a total amount and it is possible to use this basic exclusion (sometimes called the “unified credit”) to transfer assets at either stage or a combination of the two. If you exceed the limit, you (or your heirs) will owe tax of up to 40%.


The IRS expects you to keep a running tally and report these gifts so it will know how much has already been used up when you die. For example, if you have used $1 million of the exclusion to make taxable lifetime gifts, the unused exclusion if you die in 2014 will be $4.34 million, rather than $5.34 million.


Married couples get a special break: they can share the basic exclusion during life (this process is called gift-splitting) and give more to the kids now, tax-free. But of course this reduces how much of the tax-free amount will be available when they die. Widows and widowers can add any unused exclusion of the spouse who died most recently to their own. This enables them together to transfer up to $10.68 million tax-free. Tax geeks call this portability.


Still, portability is not automatic. The executor handling the estate of the spouse who died will need to transfer the unused exclusion to the survivor, who can then use it to make lifetime gifts or pass assets through his or her estate. The prerequisite is filing an estate tax return when the first spouse dies, even if no tax is owed. This return is due nine months after death with a six-month extension allowed. If the executor doesn’t file the return or misses the deadline, the spouse loses the right to portability. Spouses should file it even if they’re not wealthy today, because who knows what the future holds? (For more about portability, see my post, “A Married Couple’s Guide To Estate Planning.”)


A common source of misunderstandings is how the lifetime exemption amount relates to the annual exclusion. Here’s what you need to know: We can each give another person $14,000 per year without it counting against the lifetime exemption. Spouses can combine this annual exclusion to double the size of the gift. Don’t confuse it with the basic exclusion – that $5.34 million discussed above.


Without using either the annual exclusion or dipping into your lifetime gift-tax exemption, you can pay for tuition, dental and medical expenses of anyone you want. Note that you must make the payments directly to the providers of those services – you can’t just reimburse the person whom you want to benefit. (For various ways to be generous, see my post, “6 Ways To Give Family And Friends Financial Aid.”)


For more information about yearend tax-free gifts, stay tuned for my post tomorrow.


Also On Forbes


Inherited IRA Rules: What You Need To Know


Ed Koch’s Will: Taxes Take Big Bite Out Of Hizzoner’s Nest Egg


How One Millenial With A Liberal Arts Degree Landed A Six-Figure Job


Archive of Forbes Articles By Deborah Jacobs


Deborah L. Jacobs , a lawyer and journalist, is the author of Estate Planning Smarts: A Practical, User-Friendly, Action-Oriented Guide, now available in the third edition. You can follow her articles on Forbes by clicking the red plus sign or the blue Facebook “subscribe” button to the right of her picture above any post. She is also on Twitter and Google+







from Forbes.com: Most popular stories http://www.forbes.com/sites/deborahljacobs/2013/10/31/irs-raises-limit-on-tax-free-lifetime-gifts/

The European Union Proposes To Ban Communism

I’m on record as stating that I don’t think that the European Union is a good idea but they do seem to have come up with something of a jolly wheeze here. They’re proposing that there should be a new law on civil liberties and that this should make it a criminal offence for anyone to propose or promote communism. Which is a slightly odd thing to put under the rubric of civil liberty but that does seem to be what they’re doing.



A EUROPEAN FRAMEWORK NATIONAL STATUTE

FOR THE PROMOTION OF TOLERANCE



That’s what they’re calling it and it can be downloaded here. This comes from the ruminations of the European Council on Tolerance and Reconciliation.


Now this might at first look just like the usual lefty human rights wishlist but have a closer look:



Section 2. Purpose

The purpose of this Statute is to:

(a) Promote tolerance within society without weakening the common bonds tying together a single society.

(b) Foster tolerance between different societies.

(c) Eliminate hate crimes as defined in Section 1(c).

(d) Condemn all manifestations of intolerance based on bias, bigotry and prejudice.

(e) Take concrete action to combat intolerance, in particular with a view to eliminating racism, colour bias, ethnic discrimination, religious intolerance, totalitarian ideologies, xenophobia, anti-Semitism, anti-feminism and homophobia.



That totalitarian ideology thing there. That’s communism (amongst other things) obviously. So the purpose of the statute is to make sure that communism is eliminated. We’re looking pretty good so far. Then we have another section:



Section 7. Penal Sanctions

(a) The following acts will be regarded as criminal offences punishable as aggravated crimes:

(i) Hate crimes as defined in Section 1(c).

(ii) Incitement to violence against a group as defined in Section 1(a).

(iii) Group libel as defined in Section 1(b).

(iv) Overt approval of a totalitarian ideology, xenophobia or anti-Semitism.

(v) Public approval or denial of the Holocaust.

(vi) Public approval or denial of any other act of genocide the existence of which has been determined by an international criminal court or tribunal.



Overt approval of a totalitarian ideology is to be a criminal offence. One to be punished as an aggravated crime in fact. So anyone actually saying, well, you know, I think Trotsky might have been onto something can now be jailed. Which will certainly make student politics more interesting. Here in the Czech Republic the Communist Party just got 17% of the vote in the elections: they’ll all be off to jail then. There’s also a few communist Members of the European Parliament and it will be interesting to see whether they will vote for this. And there’s more to this law as well:



It must be understood that the “group libel” may appear to be aimed at members of the group in a different time (another historical era) or place (beyond the borders of the State).



So anyone who has ever argued that Stalin had some good ideas can also be jailed. And I’ll admit that I’ll be bringing the party balloons along as they march Danny Cohn-Bendit off under this law.


Sadly this proposed law is not actually all fun and games with the commies. It’s actually one of the most illiberal pieces of legislation that any non-actual totalitarian has proposed so far. For what it is really proposing is that the freedom of speech of everyone on the continent of Europe be limited to what certain bien pensants think is becoming for people to have free speech about. Which really isn’t the point of it at all. For example, this little explanatory note:



There is no need to be tolerant to the intolerant. This is especially important as far as freedom of expression is concerned: that freedom must not be abused to defame other groups.



Err, yes, there is indeed a need to be tolerant of the intolerant. The entire point of this freedom and liberty lark is that we all get to do our own thing, say what we wish and with that right comes the duty to take the consequences. When we get to the freedom of speech that means no libel and no incitement to immediate violence and everything else we can and do say to our heart’s content.


This is where we could profitably borrow something from the constitutional arrangements of another country:



Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for a redress of grievances.



That would put an end to this sort of nonsense.






from Forbes.com: Most popular stories http://www.forbes.com/sites/timworstall/2013/10/30/the-european-union-proposes-to-ban-communism/

Calif. Woman Ticketed For Wearing Google Glass While Driving


Google Glass Explorer gets ticketed for driving under the influence of Glass



Technology and the law do not always get along. In the latest example, Cecilia Abadie reports that she was cited by a San Diego police office for wearing Google Glass while driving. She was pulled over because she thought she was in a 75 MPH zone when she was actually supposed to be going no more than 65. (Perhaps she needs better glasses.) But while writing up a ticket the officer got her for a second infraction — “driving with monitor visible to driver” — breaking a law intended to prevent people from watching television in their vehicles. It forbids people from having a video screen in their line of sight unless it’s necessary for operating the vehicle (such as a GPS display) or a screen that is deactivated when the car is in motion.


Abadie says her Glass was turned off, but it’s not hard to see why an officer might think it’s a bad idea for a driver to have a screen directly in front of their eye. Commenters argue that a hands-free navigation device that doesn’t require you to actually turn your head could be a safety boon. I think we’ll need some road tests to bear this arguments out. Abadie meanwhile sounds irate, saying on her Google + page that “the cop was being really nasty and asking me again and again why I was wearing Google Glass in the car.” Unfortunately, Abadie did not manage to use her Glass to snap a photo or take a video of the encounter. Ironically.


“Please please please, fight this in court,” writes one of the commenters on the ticket. “We need to get a ruling on this.”


A California traffic lawyer tells the WSJ Law Blog he thinks she can get off on the infraction due to the device not being on, or if she could prove she was using its mapping function. Google Glass FAQ warn users to know the law around mobile device use in their states when it comes to driving (and biking).


I’ve reached out to Abadie to see if she plans to fight it. Alternately, Google could just hurry up with those driverless cars, allowing us all to be as distracted while “driving” as we want to be.






from Forbes.com: Most popular stories http://www.forbes.com/sites/kashmirhill/2013/10/30/calif-woman-ticketed-for-wearing-google-glass-while-driving/

Tech Companies Write Congress Begging For Surveillance Reform


Internet companies band together asking for surveillance reform



A day after the Washington Post reported that the NSA has infiltrated the links between Yahoo’s and Google’s data centers where data travels unencrypted, six tech heavyweights wrote a letter to Congress begging for surveillance reform. Apple, Microsoft, Google, Yahoo, Facebook and AOL signed their logos to a letter to members of the Senate and House Judiciary Committees asking for the right to be more transparent about government requests for information in their transparency reports and urging them to pass the U.S.A. Freedom Act. Proposed Tuesday, the Act would end the NSA’s ubiquitous collection of phone records, and would allow tech companies to reveal more stats about the information they turn over to the government, reports the Hill.


“Recent disclosures regarding surveillance activity raise important concerns both in the United States and abroad,” says the letter. Translation, as Facebook’s Mark Zuckerberg said at a tech conference, “the government blew it.” Revelations about the NSA’s reliance on phone and electronic communication providers for dragnet surveillance — that which they knew about and that which they didn’t — has caused a backlash for tech companies, among users, the media, and foreign governments which are talking about new restrictions on technology companies to protect their citizens’ privacy.


The letter includes a vague call for additional reform: “Transparency is a critical first step to an informed public debate, but it is clear that more needs to be done. Our companies believe that government surveillance practices should also be reformed to include substantial enhancements to privacy protections and appropriate oversight and accountability mechanisms for those programs.”


At a conference about law and technology last month in Menlo Park, Yahoo general counsel Ron Bell said the Snowden revelations have led to active investigations of Yahoo’s local offices in France and Germany as to whether they were involved with NSA.


“It’s having an effect globally on the perception of us and of U.S. Internet companies,” Bell said.


As a result of the fall-out, Yahoo did get to reveal that it had fought NSA requests for information secretly in 2007.


“That challenge and our involvement was classified for a long time. Some documents are still classified. We’re hoping to have more information about that available to the public in the future,” said Bell. “One of the things the Snowden disclosures have shown is that you should always be acting in the users’ best interest whether they’re aware of that or not.”






from Forbes.com: Most popular stories http://www.forbes.com/sites/kashmirhill/2013/10/31/tech-companies-write-congress-begging-for-surveillance-reform/